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2021-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +19 (119-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Kuminga * 36 9-15 4-6 4-6 1 2 2 0 26 - -
Damion Lee * 34 5-11 2-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 31 4-9 0-3 1-2 10 3 0 1 9 - -
Chris Chiozza * 26 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 7 1 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney * 23 4-7 0-0 4-4 4 3 0 2 12 - -
Moses Moody 25 3-10 2-8 3-5 8 3 0 1 11 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 25 4-8 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Gary Payton II 20 6-11 1-5 0-0 9 1 2 0 13 - -
Jeff Dowtin 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 33 9-17 6-10 3-3 7 12 3 1 27 - -
Scottie Barnes * 32 8-12 0-2 5-7 8 6 0 0 21 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 28 4-8 2-5 0-1 0 2 4 0 10 - -
OG Anunoby * 27 3-8 0-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher * 23 4-8 1-4 2-2 8 1 0 1 11 - -
Precious Achiuwa 22 8-12 1-2 0-1 5 0 1 0 17 - -
Yuta Watanabe 21 4-9 2-4 2-5 4 0 2 1 12 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 16 2-8 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Malachi Flynn 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Justin Champagnie 13 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Isaac Bonga 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 - -

* = starter