Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Mathews * | 35 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 30 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher * | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 17 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 16 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 36 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 23 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter