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2021-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -
Points Off/Def 62.7% 37.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +9 (125-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 38 6-12 0-2 2-2 6 11 1 2 14 - -
LaMelo Ball * 28 11-17 3-5 2-2 4 5 1 0 27 - -
Terry Rozier * 23 1-10 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 - -
Gordon Hayward * 22 2-8 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Mason Plumlee * 16 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 9 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 31 6-14 3-9 3-4 4 1 0 0 18 - -
Cody Martin 26 5-5 1-1 3-4 3 5 2 0 14 - -
P.J. Washington 24 4-8 4-8 4-4 5 1 1 1 16 - -
Jalen McDaniels 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Ish Smith 13 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 40 5-15 4-10 0-0 3 5 1 0 14 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 12-19 6-11 13-14 4 8 1 0 43 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 35 4-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 10 - -
Nassir Little * 29 1-4 0-2 1-2 8 6 1 3 3 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 14 5-8 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Robert Covington 31 3-10 1-6 0-0 10 3 2 2 7 - -
Ben McLemore 26 10-16 8-13 0-0 2 0 2 0 28 - -
Anfernee Simons 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 8 - -
Trendon Watford 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter