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2021-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.7% 37.3% -
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% -
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% -
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (116-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 44 18-36 1-8 3-4 5 5 2 0 40 - -
Jordan Nwora * 42 5-14 3-6 1-2 13 0 2 1 14 - -
Pat Connaughton * 41 4-12 1-9 0-0 8 4 2 1 9 - -
Grayson Allen * 39 8-17 7-12 2-2 3 0 3 1 25 - -
DeMarcus Cousins * 15 4-8 0-4 1-1 6 2 0 0 9 - -
George Hill 29 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 2 2 0 7 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 2 6 - -
Rodney Hood 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Smart 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 42 6-16 3-8 7-9 5 5 3 0 22 - -
Josh Hart * 41 5-10 0-2 1-6 15 8 1 0 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 39 11-15 0-0 2-3 7 3 1 2 24 - -
Devonte' Graham * 36 8-12 8-12 2-2 4 4 3 0 26 - -
Herbert Jones * 33 6-9 0-0 5-8 9 4 1 1 17 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 29 5-17 2-10 0-0 2 4 1 0 12 - -
Garrett Temple 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Tomas Satoransky 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 - -
Trey Murphy III 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter