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2021-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 36 11-20 5-7 0-0 6 2 1 1 27 17 -
Stephen Curry * 35 8-21 5-14 9-9 5 4 1 0 30 19 -
Draymond Green * 31 2-6 0-3 2-2 5 8 0 1 6 14 -
Kevon Looney * 21 2-3 0-0 2-4 10 0 1 1 6 15 -
Moses Moody * 10 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -
Andre Iguodala 24 5-9 2-6 0-0 4 6 2 2 12 17 -
Damion Lee 18 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 8 6 -
Otto Porter Jr. 16 3-5 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 1 6 10 -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 2-7 1-2 2-2 4 3 0 1 7 8 -
Chris Chiozza 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 -
Gary Payton II 9 2-3 1-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jonathan Kuminga 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 9-19 3-10 6-6 8 6 1 0 27 23 -
Robert Williams III * 36 3-6 0-0 1-5 11 1 0 1 7 14 -
Marcus Smart * 35 6-12 2-6 5-6 6 8 1 0 19 22 -
Jaylen Brown * 33 8-16 4-7 0-2 9 2 1 0 20 16 -
Romeo Langford * 7 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Josh Richardson 35 4-10 4-7 3-4 2 0 1 1 15 9 -
Aaron Nesmith 22 3-8 2-6 3-4 1 0 1 0 11 5 -
Payton Pritchard 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 -
Enes Freedom 10 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 6 -
Brodric Thomas 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter