Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -18 (115-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 8-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 28 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 25 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 26 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 17 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 12-27 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 22 | - | |
| John Collins * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 21 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Lou Williams | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Sharife Cooper | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter