Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -10 (105-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vincent * | 36 | 10-20 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 33 | 11-15 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuma Okeke * | 38 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 36 | 11-23 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez * | 32 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hassani Gravett | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| BJ Johnson | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aleem Ford | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter