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2022-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +7 (127-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 44 7-17 0-1 14-14 6 7 2 0 28 - -
Zach LaVine * 42 6-10 2-4 1-2 5 7 2 1 15 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 42 5-12 1-5 0-0 4 8 0 1 11 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 39 13-21 4-6 0-0 18 4 1 1 30 - -
Javonte Green * 33 3-7 0-1 7-8 6 2 3 1 13 - -
Coby White 22 6-15 4-8 0-0 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Tony Bradley 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 - -
Matt Thomas 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Tyler Cook 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 45 9-22 1-4 6-7 13 7 2 1 25 - -
Fred VanVleet * 42 6-19 3-9 6-6 4 9 2 0 21 - -
OG Anunoby * 42 8-15 5-8 0-0 1 6 1 1 21 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 40 5-13 3-8 3-3 3 3 2 0 16 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 9-16 2-4 1-2 8 2 0 1 21 - -
Chris Boucher 24 8-14 0-1 0-0 10 1 2 1 16 - -
Precious Achiuwa 18 2-9 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 1 5 - -
Dalano Banton 10 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Khem Birch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter