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2021-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 83.6% 16.4% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 36 9-17 3-8 7-7 10 5 0 0 28 - -
Cade Cunningham * 34 8-16 1-4 2-2 6 4 1 2 19 - -
Killian Hayes * 29 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 26 2-7 0-0 5-6 9 0 0 0 9 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 24 5-6 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Frank Jackson 25 7-11 3-6 1-1 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Trey Lyles 21 3-8 0-2 4-5 3 3 1 0 10 - -
Saben Lee 20 3-7 0-2 5-6 1 5 3 0 11 - -
Rodney McGruder 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Livers 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 37 12-18 0-3 7-9 3 5 2 1 31 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 5-9 0-1 2-2 9 6 0 0 12 - -
Myles Turner * 27 7-12 0-4 2-2 7 1 0 4 16 - -
Justin Holiday * 26 5-15 3-10 4-4 2 0 0 1 17 - -
Brad Wanamaker * 25 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 2 0 6 - -
Chris Duarte 29 5-13 2-6 3-4 9 4 0 0 15 - -
Jeremy Lamb 25 3-10 0-3 5-5 2 6 0 1 11 - -
Oshae Brissett 20 4-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Torrey Craig 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Goga Bitadze 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter