Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +14 (119-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 13-24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 17 | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 22 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Raul Neto | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 16 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 19 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 20 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - | |
| Alex Len * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 28 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 16 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter