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2021-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% -
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 67.8% 32.2% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% -
Points Off/Def 75.3% 24.7% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (103-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 37 6-16 2-7 8-10 7 6 0 0 22 - -
Tyus Jones * 31 5-10 2-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 12 - -
Steven Adams * 30 4-6 0-0 2-2 14 2 3 0 10 - -
Desmond Bane * 30 8-13 5-8 2-2 6 4 0 0 23 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 23 4-13 0-4 1-1 2 0 0 2 9 - -
Kyle Anderson 27 4-10 0-2 5-7 11 3 3 2 13 - -
De'Anthony Melton 20 1-4 0-2 1-2 6 3 1 1 3 - -
John Konchar 17 3-3 2-2 1-2 5 0 1 0 9 - -
Xavier Tillman 14 3-5 0-1 4-4 0 1 2 0 10 - -
Killian Tillie 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 40 7-18 4-10 7-7 6 5 2 2 25 - -
Damian Lillard * 38 6-21 5-11 4-4 5 4 1 1 21 - -
Nassir Little * 34 2-5 1-2 4-4 4 3 0 1 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 31 5-11 0-1 6-8 12 2 2 0 16 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 30 2-4 1-3 1-1 5 3 1 0 6 - -
Anfernee Simons 29 7-16 4-6 4-4 3 0 0 0 22 - -
Robert Covington 22 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 3 2 4 - -
Ben McLemore 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trendon Watford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter