Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -17 (107-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 35 | 12-18 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 33 | 14-21 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels | 23 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 11-16 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 30 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 16 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter