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2021-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -16 (115-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cody Martin * 40 8-13 4-4 1-1 8 3 0 1 21 - -
Miles Bridges * 33 8-12 1-3 2-4 8 8 0 1 19 - -
Gordon Hayward * 29 15-19 5-6 6-6 5 3 0 0 41 - -
Terry Rozier * 26 5-12 3-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 13 - -
Mason Plumlee * 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 4 1 0 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 32 6-11 2-6 1-3 10 1 1 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington 29 5-7 2-4 0-0 9 7 0 2 12 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
James Bouknight 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Nick Richards 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Scottie Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Kai Jones 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 34 4-11 2-5 0-0 6 9 1 0 10 - -
Keldon Johnson * 31 9-16 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 21 - -
Derrick White * 30 3-10 2-6 10-10 6 7 0 0 18 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 4-7 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Doug McDermott * 22 4-12 2-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Devin Vassell 23 4-9 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 1 10 - -
Bryn Forbes 19 6-11 3-6 10-10 1 1 0 0 25 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 4 - -
Tre Jones 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Jock Landale 6 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter