Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +15 (114-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 23 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 30 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 28 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Javonte Smart | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter