Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 42 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 42 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 39 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Wayne Ellington * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 32 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 42 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 38 | 8-23 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 38 | 11-18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 40 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 22 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter