Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -5 (96-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 39 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 34 | 8-16 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - | |
| Max Strus | 23 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey * | 41 | 11-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 37 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Danny Green | 28 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Shake Milton | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Paul Reed | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter