🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% - ✓
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 ✓ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% - ✓
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 36 8-14 2-4 3-3 10 2 0 0 21 - -
Trae Young * 30 11-22 1-8 5-5 4 4 2 0 28 - -
Clint Capela * 27 3-7 0-0 1-1 11 4 1 2 7 - -
Kevin Huerter * 26 3-9 0-4 1-1 3 5 1 1 7 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * 20 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Cam Reddish 25 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 13 - -
Delon Wright 23 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 5 1 2 2 - -
Danilo Gallinari 23 3-6 2-4 2-2 3 3 1 0 10 - -
Lou Williams 18 5-11 2-2 2-2 2 0 2 0 14 - -
Gorgui Dieng 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Sharife Cooper 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 34 5-14 0-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 10 - -
Cole Anthony * 34 3-14 0-5 1-1 5 5 0 0 7 - -
Chuma Okeke * 32 2-10 2-7 2-2 4 2 1 1 8 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 4-10 1-4 0-0 15 3 1 0 9 - -
R.J. Hampton * 27 4-9 3-4 4-5 0 4 0 0 15 - -
Terrence Ross 32 7-17 0-5 4-5 7 8 1 1 18 - -
Moritz Wagner 18 6-9 3-4 4-4 6 1 0 0 19 - -
Mychal Mulder 13 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 12 1-3 0-1 4-4 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Robin Lopez 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter