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2021-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% -
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 (27.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% -
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% -
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% -
Points Off/Def 24.0% 76.0% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +35 (124-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrison Mathews * 28 0-6 0-6 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 28 4-10 2-2 2-2 6 1 3 0 12 - -
Armoni Brooks * 21 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 - -
Daniel Theis * 18 2-7 0-2 1-2 6 1 1 0 5 - -
D.J. Augustin * 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 - -
David Nwaba 27 5-9 0-1 1-1 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Alperen Sengun 27 7-14 0-2 5-6 11 5 2 1 19 - -
Josh Christopher 27 5-11 1-4 6-10 1 4 1 0 17 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 26 4-10 1-4 5-8 3 0 2 0 14 - -
Usman Garuba 17 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 1 2 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dean Wade * 34 6-8 3-5 1-2 10 1 0 0 16 - -
Darius Garland * 25 7-11 3-6 4-4 2 3 0 0 21 - -
Isaac Okoro * 21 7-9 3-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 20 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 18 5-10 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Jarrett Allen * 18 3-8 0-0 0-1 9 4 0 2 6 - -
Ricky Rubio 21 2-6 0-3 3-3 2 12 4 0 7 - -
Lamar Stevens 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Ed Davis 19 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 2 4 - -
Cedi Osman 18 3-8 1-5 1-4 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Kevin Love 15 4-6 3-5 4-4 6 0 0 1 15 - -
Kevin Pangos 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Dylan Windler 7 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Denzel Valentine 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter