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2021-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% -
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% -
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 68.6% 31.4% -
Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% -
Log Adjusted 86.7% 13.3% -
Points Off/Def 75.9% 24.1% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 44 12-17 0-0 4-5 13 1 2 0 28 - -
Chris Paul * 41 10-19 1-1 3-4 8 14 3 0 24 - -
Jae Crowder * 38 5-11 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Mikal Bridges * 34 3-8 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Landry Shamet * 23 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Cameron Payne 34 6-14 2-3 3-4 3 5 1 0 17 - -
Cameron Johnson 32 4-14 4-11 0-0 8 1 0 0 12 - -
JaVale McGee 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Elfrid Payton 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 47 11-31 5-16 4-5 2 10 0 1 31 - -
Norman Powell * 39 9-17 3-7 2-3 6 0 2 0 23 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 38 7-11 0-1 3-5 13 5 1 0 17 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 27 4-8 0-0 1-4 8 4 3 0 9 - -
Nassir Little * 23 1-4 0-3 1-2 5 1 1 1 3 - -
Robert Covington 36 3-7 2-5 0-0 7 0 0 1 8 - -
Anfernee Simons 32 3-13 1-6 1-1 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Tony Snell 15 2-2 2-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Ben McLemore 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter