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2022-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (43.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% -
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +46 (133-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 36 5-15 2-10 2-4 5 4 0 1 14 - -
Killian Hayes * 33 4-11 0-4 0-0 3 5 4 0 8 - -
Cade Cunningham * 29 3-11 2-5 0-0 7 3 1 0 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 28 4-8 0-3 3-4 7 2 0 4 11 - -
Hamidou Diallo * 17 3-7 1-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 7 - -
Josh Jackson 29 6-13 1-5 3-3 2 0 2 0 16 - -
Saben Lee 21 1-5 0-1 5-6 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Cassius Stanley 17 1-7 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Trey Lyles 15 1-6 0-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Luka Garza 10 2-6 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 2 6 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 29 3-10 2-5 2-2 9 7 1 0 10 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 27 10-18 2-4 0-0 8 4 2 0 22 - -
Lonzo Ball * 27 6-9 4-7 2-3 6 5 3 1 18 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 26 8-13 0-0 4-5 12 7 0 0 20 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 13 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 27 4-9 1-4 1-1 1 0 0 1 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 24 3-7 1-2 0-0 7 5 6 0 7 - -
Coby White 23 4-8 1-3 4-4 1 3 0 0 13 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 12 4-5 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 10 - -
Tony Bradley 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 5 - -
Matt Thomas 7 3-4 3-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Devon Dotson 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Marko Simonovic 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter