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2021-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 56.6% 43.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% -
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% -

Actual: New York Knicks -9 (96-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 34 8-19 5-14 1-2 3 3 1 1 22 11 -
Jordan Poole * 34 3-11 0-6 13-13 9 3 0 0 19 20 -
Andrew Wiggins * 33 6-13 3-6 3-6 6 3 0 0 18 14 -
Draymond Green * 31 3-6 1-1 1-2 11 7 1 3 8 24 -
Kevon Looney * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 7 -
Damion Lee 17 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 3 -
Nemanja Bjelica 16 5-5 4-4 0-2 4 4 0 0 14 17 -
Andre Iguodala 14 0-4 0-4 2-2 4 5 0 0 2 7 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 1 -
Jonathan Kuminga 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Gary Payton II 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 5 6 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alec Burks * 38 4-15 2-10 4-4 1 4 1 0 14 5 -
Julius Randle * 37 10-21 5-8 6-6 7 3 2 0 31 22 -
Derrick Rose * 34 5-13 3-4 2-2 4 6 1 0 15 13 -
Evan Fournier * 28 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Nerlens Noel * 24 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 3 3 11 -
Immanuel Quickley 21 3-12 2-9 4-4 2 3 0 1 12 6 -
Kevin Knox II 20 2-4 2-3 3-4 7 1 1 0 9 14 -
Miles McBride 20 3-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 5 -
Mitchell Robinson 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter