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2021-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.1% 44.9% -
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% -
Log Adjusted 69.3% 30.7% -
Points Off/Def 58.7% 41.3% -

Actual: LA Clippers +16 (111-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 33 4-14 0-2 1-2 2 8 3 0 9 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 6-10 1-3 3-3 3 0 2 0 16 - -
JaVale McGee * 25 5-13 0-2 3-4 13 1 0 0 13 - -
Landry Shamet * 25 3-11 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 6 - -
Cameron Johnson 34 5-11 3-7 4-4 6 1 3 0 17 - -
Cameron Payne 28 5-15 0-3 2-2 4 4 0 1 12 - -
Elfrid Payton 17 2-8 1-2 1-2 3 5 0 1 6 - -
Ish Wainright 14 3-7 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Chandler Hutchison 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terance Mann * 38 7-10 1-3 2-2 9 3 0 0 17 - -
Luke Kennard * 34 5-9 3-5 3-3 9 4 0 0 16 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 33 10-16 2-4 2-3 11 1 0 0 24 - -
Reggie Jackson * 30 6-13 2-4 5-5 3 2 0 0 19 - -
Ivica Zubac * 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 4 8 - -
Eric Bledsoe 24 4-8 1-2 1-4 0 4 2 0 10 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 23 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 7 1 2 12 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 16 0-4 0-3 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Justise Winslow 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 1 3 - -
Keon Johnson 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter