Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 31 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 27 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter