Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +24 (120-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 30 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 27 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 35 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 28 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 23 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Scottie Lewis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 25 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 22 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter