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2021-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 19.4% 80.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +14 (117-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 7-14 0-3 6-8 8 3 1 0 20 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 8-16 2-3 2-3 0 8 3 0 20 - -
Grayson Allen * 31 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 1 2 1 10 - -
Bobby Portis * 26 6-14 1-6 0-0 8 2 0 1 13 - -
Khris Middleton * 23 2-8 0-1 0-0 8 3 0 0 4 - -
Pat Connaughton 30 5-11 2-7 3-3 9 2 1 0 15 - -
Rodney Hood 24 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 13 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Javonte Smart 11 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 16-25 7-13 3-5 5 4 3 0 42 - -
Al Horford * 34 4-9 2-5 0-0 5 4 0 1 10 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 6-13 3-7 4-4 4 5 2 1 19 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 11 0 0 2 - -
Robert Williams III * 21 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 10 - -
Grant Williams 28 5-7 5-7 2-2 7 1 0 0 17 - -
Dennis Schroder 24 2-10 1-5 2-2 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Romeo Langford 17 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Aaron Nesmith 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Enes Freedom 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Brodric Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter