Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (126-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 31 | 10-16 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 25 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 24 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks * | 21 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 23 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 22 | 7-9 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 35 | 14-22 | 5-9 | 8-9 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 26 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter