Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +23 (124-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 11-20 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 27 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 26 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Louis King | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher * | 22 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 20 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 14 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter