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2021-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 81.4% 18.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.7% 24.3% - โœ“
Margin 78.3% 21.7% -7.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 8-20 5-15 5-5 6 6 1 1 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 7-15 0-3 1-1 5 1 1 3 15 - -
Draymond Green * 31 7-10 0-1 1-2 9 5 0 0 15 - -
Jordan Poole * 28 3-9 1-4 1-3 4 4 0 0 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 27 7-10 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 14 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 25 5-9 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 10 - -
Damion Lee 19 1-3 0-2 1-1 3 0 2 1 3 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 - -
Gary Payton II 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 3 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 6 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Moses Moody 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 36 7-14 1-3 8-10 6 8 2 0 23 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 36 12-17 0-1 6-10 11 0 2 1 30 - -
Caris LeVert * 36 7-18 3-6 2-2 2 5 1 0 19 - -
Myles Turner * 35 1-10 0-6 4-4 10 1 0 4 6 - -
Chris Duarte * 21 1-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Kelan Martin 26 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Oshae Brissett 24 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 5 0 8 - -
Jeremy Lamb 16 1-7 0-3 3-5 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Brad Wanamaker 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter