Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 8-20 | 5-15 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 12-17 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 36 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 35 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter