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2021-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% -
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +12 (106-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 39 8-18 2-5 2-4 7 2 0 0 20 - -
Cole Anthony * 35 6-18 4-11 5-6 6 5 0 0 21 - -
Gary Harris * 32 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 6-12 2-6 2-2 8 3 0 1 16 - -
Mo Bamba * 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 - -
Terrence Ross 32 4-11 2-4 5-5 6 2 3 0 15 - -
Chuma Okeke 22 1-9 0-5 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 - -
Robin Lopez 18 3-6 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 7 - -
R.J. Hampton 14 2-7 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 12-20 3-7 3-4 11 10 0 3 30 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 9-18 0-0 1-2 7 5 2 0 19 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 30 7-14 3-6 2-4 1 3 6 0 19 - -
Avery Bradley * 28 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 - -
Dwight Howard * 23 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 3 2 5 - -
Austin Reaves 25 1-4 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Carmelo Anthony 24 4-9 3-5 2-2 3 1 0 2 13 - -
Malik Monk 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
DeAndre Jordan 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 4 - -
Wayne Ellington 7 1-1 1-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter