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2021-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.1% 39.9% -
Margin 75.5% 24.5% -6.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% -
Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% -
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% -
Points Off/Def 69.3% 30.7% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -5 (111-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 35 5-12 4-8 4-6 5 5 2 0 18 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 7-17 0-3 9-10 10 4 0 0 23 - -
Patrick Beverley * 34 3-10 2-4 2-2 4 4 3 0 10 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 30 6-8 1-1 1-3 8 0 3 1 14 - -
Anthony Edwards * 29 7-13 2-7 8-9 4 3 1 0 24 - -
Jaden McDaniels 28 4-11 2-7 0-0 7 0 0 0 10 - -
Malik Beasley 22 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Jaylen Nowell 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 5 - -
Naz Reid 9 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 38 6-11 2-4 1-2 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 5-17 3-14 11-15 11 6 0 0 24 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 25 3-6 0-2 2-4 12 3 0 1 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 21 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 8 - -
Nassir Little * 20 4-7 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 1 10 - -
Robert Covington 33 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 3 5 4 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 32 9-20 6-12 2-3 1 3 0 0 26 - -
Ben McLemore 15 5-6 5-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Trendon Watford 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Tony Snell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter