Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -15 (112-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 15-24 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 22 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 21 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 20 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 22 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 19 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter