Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +5.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 7-14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks | 34 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 21 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 6-14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 17 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter