Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (118-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 39 | 5-15 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 37 | 11-20 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 33 | 3-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 29 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devon Dotson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marko Simonovic | 4 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Tucker * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 28 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 27 | 9-13 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 33 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 20 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter