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2021-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +14 (117-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 26 4-8 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 8 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 25 6-14 0-3 1-1 6 1 1 0 13 - -
Harrison Barnes * 24 4-10 0-2 4-6 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Alex Len * 23 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 2 5 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 22 3-10 0-2 1-3 7 0 0 1 7 - -
Buddy Hield 27 7-13 4-10 3-3 5 0 2 2 21 - -
Davion Mitchell 25 6-12 2-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 14 - -
Terence Davis 17 4-9 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Chimezie Metu 16 4-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Damian Jones 16 1-2 0-0 3-5 8 3 1 1 5 - -
Tristan Thompson 9 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 - -
Maurice Harkless 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 38 5-8 0-1 9-10 11 1 2 3 19 - -
Darius Garland * 37 7-17 1-6 1-1 6 13 3 1 16 - -
Evan Mobley * 37 7-14 0-0 1-2 15 2 0 1 15 - -
Isaac Okoro * 29 7-9 2-3 4-4 4 3 2 0 20 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 26 1-8 0-3 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 - -
Cedi Osman 27 6-16 4-10 2-3 2 2 1 1 18 - -
Ricky Rubio 26 4-9 2-3 5-6 2 3 3 0 15 - -
Kevin Love 13 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Dean Wade 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter