Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✗ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +21 (111-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 33 | 10-25 | 1-7 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 1-13 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Enes Freedom | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 30 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 26 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 30 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 22 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 21 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 6 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chandler Hutchison | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter