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2021-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (29.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -21 (95-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 34 13-20 4-6 3-4 5 6 3 2 33 - -
Russell Westbrook * 33 4-8 0-1 0-0 9 7 0 1 8 - -
Avery Bradley * 26 8-14 6-8 0-0 2 0 4 0 22 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 24 4-7 2-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 11 - -
Dwight Howard * 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 1 - -
Austin Reaves 27 4-7 1-3 4-4 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Carmelo Anthony 24 1-6 1-6 4-4 4 3 1 0 7 - -
Malik Monk 18 2-9 1-6 1-2 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Wayne Ellington 17 3-9 3-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 9 - -
DeAndre Jordan 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Kent Bazemore 4 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 32 4-17 2-11 1-2 0 2 1 0 11 - -
Josh Giddey * 32 5-12 0-5 2-2 7 7 1 0 12 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 30 5-12 1-3 0-1 2 4 0 1 11 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 26 3-7 2-5 0-0 9 1 0 0 8 - -
Darius Bazley * 23 3-7 1-5 2-2 7 2 3 0 9 - -
Tre Mann 27 8-15 3-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 19 - -
Kenrich Williams 18 0-5 0-2 0-2 6 3 1 0 0 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 16 3-8 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 7 - -
Derrick Favors 12 4-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Mike Muscala 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Paul Watson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Theo Maledon 4 1-1 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Isaiah Roby 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter