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2021-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +16 (109-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 31 5-17 2-7 4-5 1 4 3 0 16 - -
Saddiq Bey * 28 3-12 3-6 2-2 4 0 2 0 11 - -
Jerami Grant * 27 5-14 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 4 11 - -
Killian Hayes * 27 3-9 1-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 20 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Trey Lyles 25 7-8 2-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 18 - -
Frank Jackson 21 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Hamidou Diallo 16 4-9 0-4 3-3 7 2 0 1 11 - -
Josh Jackson 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Saben Lee 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Luka Garza 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 33 9-19 4-8 4-4 3 5 0 2 26 - -
Josh Hart * 31 5-5 0-0 4-4 13 5 1 0 14 - -
Herbert Jones * 30 3-9 1-3 3-4 5 4 0 1 10 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 26 7-12 0-0 3-4 11 3 0 0 17 - -
Devonte' Graham * 25 3-9 3-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21 6-18 2-8 0-0 3 4 2 0 14 - -
Tomas Satoransky 19 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Willy Hernangomez 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Garrett Temple 18 3-6 3-4 0-0 7 1 2 1 9 - -
Naji Marshall 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Gary Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jose Alvarado 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Trey Murphy III 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter