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2021-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -17 (106-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 31 5-10 2-5 0-0 2 12 1 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro * 30 7-10 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 1 16 - -
Jarrett Allen * 26 9-11 0-0 3-3 10 2 1 2 21 - -
Evan Mobley * 24 4-6 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 2 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 21 7-8 4-5 1-2 2 2 2 0 19 - -
Cedi Osman 27 5-10 1-3 2-2 1 4 3 0 13 - -
Ricky Rubio 22 2-9 1-4 1-2 4 8 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Love 22 4-10 3-7 7-7 13 4 1 1 18 - -
Dean Wade 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Pangos 5 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tacko Fall 5 1-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 32 6-17 1-8 0-0 4 2 2 1 13 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 30 3-6 1-1 2-3 8 2 3 1 9 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 8-19 0-7 5-6 7 2 1 3 21 - -
Patrick Beverley * 27 2-7 1-4 2-2 3 7 1 0 7 - -
Taurean Prince * 11 2-3 1-1 4-4 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Malik Beasley 29 6-15 3-8 0-0 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Jaden McDaniels 21 1-4 0-1 3-3 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 - -
Jaylen Nowell 15 4-7 2-3 0-2 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Naz Reid 14 3-9 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Jake Layman 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Nathan Knight 3 0-0 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Josh Okogie 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter