Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -9 (114-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 15-19 | 1-3 | 10-14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 41 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 6-19 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 31 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Javonte Smart | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrison Mathews * | 39 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks * | 33 | 7-17 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 32 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter