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2021-12-11

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (90-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 37 4-9 1-4 4-5 14 5 1 0 13 - -
Alec Burks * 36 0-7 0-3 1-2 5 5 2 0 1 - -
RJ Barrett * 29 5-16 2-7 7-8 6 1 0 0 19 - -
Evan Fournier * 23 3-8 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Nerlens Noel * 13 3-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Derrick Rose 33 5-13 1-3 0-0 6 4 0 0 11 - -
Immanuel Quickley 24 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Obi Toppin 23 6-14 1-5 6-6 10 1 0 0 19 - -
Mitchell Robinson 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 2 4 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 41 6-12 0-1 0-0 15 3 2 2 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 39 3-18 0-3 7-8 12 4 0 1 13 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 39 9-16 5-7 1-2 1 1 3 0 24 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 4-13 4-11 5-5 6 11 3 1 17 - -
Chris Boucher * 27 5-11 1-3 3-4 8 0 0 1 14 - -
Yuta Watanabe 17 1-6 1-5 1-2 4 0 1 1 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 16 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 5 - -
Justin Champagnie 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 5 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -

* = starter