Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +13 (106-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 11-25 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 30 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 30 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 29 | 7-15 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 37 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 36 | 11-23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 25 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brad Wanamaker | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter