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2021-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% -
Log Adjusted 70.3% 29.7% -
Points Off/Def 59.5% 40.5% -

Actual: LA Clippers +3 (114-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 38 8-16 2-6 1-1 4 8 1 0 19 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 7-16 1-6 1-1 7 6 4 0 16 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 9-20 2-7 9-10 10 2 2 1 29 - -
Al Horford * 34 4-8 1-4 2-2 7 7 0 0 11 - -
Robert Williams III * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 4 - -
Josh Richardson 30 5-11 3-6 4-4 5 1 1 0 17 - -
Grant Williams 23 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 2 5 - -
Romeo Langford 10 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Enes Freedom 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Nesmith 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Jackson * 37 6-22 2-8 3-4 3 7 0 0 17 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 34 7-16 2-6 4-4 4 2 0 0 20 - -
Terance Mann * 32 5-7 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 0 10 - -
Ivica Zubac * 31 3-4 0-0 4-4 10 1 1 4 10 - -
Nicolas Batum * 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 - -
Luke Kennard 28 5-10 4-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 15 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 25 9-13 5-8 4-4 2 0 4 0 27 - -
Eric Bledsoe 19 3-9 1-3 2-3 3 4 3 0 9 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 3 2 2 6 - -
Justise Winslow 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter