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2021-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +12 (142-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wendell Carter Jr. * 36 7-14 1-3 4-6 10 6 0 1 19 22 -
Cole Anthony * 34 12-22 6-9 3-4 4 8 1 0 33 24 -
Franz Wagner * 32 5-10 2-2 7-7 6 4 1 0 19 20 -
Gary Harris * 31 7-12 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 16 8 -
Mo Bamba * 28 6-11 2-3 0-0 8 1 0 4 14 16 -
Terrence Ross 34 6-13 3-8 2-2 2 4 0 0 17 10 -
Robin Lopez 14 5-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 11 11 -
Chuma Okeke 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 1 -
R.J. Hampton 13 0-6 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 0 -
Moritz Wagner 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 38 6-9 5-6 1-1 3 11 3 2 18 28 -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 12-18 2-2 7-8 3 1 1 1 33 21 -
Harrison Barnes * 29 5-11 2-4 4-5 5 3 1 0 16 14 -
Terence Davis * 29 6-11 2-5 2-2 5 3 0 1 16 14 -
Richaun Holmes * 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 5 -
Davion Mitchell 24 7-10 1-3 3-4 3 4 0 0 18 15 -
Tristan Thompson 20 6-11 0-0 2-3 10 0 1 1 14 15 -
Marvin Bagley III 19 4-8 2-4 2-2 6 0 1 0 12 11 -
Alex Len 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 6 10 -
Buddy Hield 17 2-13 1-10 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 -6 -

* = starter