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2021-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 26.2% 73.8% -
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -
Points Off/Def 15.6% 84.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +10 (104-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 42 8-23 1-7 9-11 0 5 1 0 26 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 41 5-9 0-2 2-2 6 5 1 2 12 - -
Robert Covington * 35 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 27 5-14 0-1 2-3 13 6 0 0 12 - -
Nassir Little * 25 5-8 2-4 6-10 6 1 0 1 18 - -
Ben McLemore 25 4-8 3-7 1-2 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 2-8 0-3 0-0 7 5 1 0 4 - -
Tony Snell 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 34 5-14 2-10 8-9 3 2 3 1 20 - -
Stephen Curry * 33 8-19 6-17 0-0 2 2 1 0 22 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 4-9 2-5 4-4 4 2 1 0 14 - -
Draymond Green * 32 1-5 0-1 3-6 10 8 1 1 5 - -
Kevon Looney * 17 5-8 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 0 11 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 26 4-8 4-6 3-3 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 19 3-9 0-4 2-3 6 3 1 1 8 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 16 1-4 0-1 1-2 7 2 1 0 3 - -
Damion Lee 13 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Gary Payton II 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter