Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -6 (114-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 43 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 41 | 7-18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 17-23 | 0-3 | 5-9 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 22 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 43 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 42 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 39 | 12-21 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 38 | 4-13 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 38 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 23 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter