Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -8 (96-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 30 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 23 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 33 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter