Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.8% | 38.2% | -2.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (109-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 38 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 12-12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 32 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 21 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 6-20 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 10-15 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 38 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter