Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 12-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 35 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Javonte Smart | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 39 | 9-21 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 33 | 9-12 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 32 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 19 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter