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2021-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% -
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (116-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 42 10-19 0-2 5-8 6 3 1 0 25 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 39 8-18 4-10 6-7 7 4 1 0 26 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 35 3-9 2-5 4-4 6 7 2 0 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 34 5-13 3-8 0-0 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 2-4 0-0 3-4 10 2 0 6 7 - -
Raul Neto 24 5-8 0-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 10 - -
Deni Avdija 20 4-9 2-4 0-0 6 0 0 1 10 - -
Montrezl Harrell 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Davis Bertans 11 1-1 1-1 3-3 1 2 0 1 6 - -
Anthony Gill 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 39 6-16 2-2 14-15 5 3 2 1 28 - -
Cade Cunningham * 37 8-20 1-4 4-4 4 3 2 0 21 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 29 5-6 0-0 1-2 10 3 1 1 11 - -
Saddiq Bey * 22 3-6 2-4 0-2 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Killian Hayes * 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Frank Jackson 30 6-9 5-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 19 - -
Hamidou Diallo 29 4-7 2-3 2-4 2 1 1 1 12 - -
Trey Lyles 23 1-5 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Cory Joseph 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 5 1 0 2 - -
Josh Jackson 14 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 7 - -

* = starter